Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000671 0.000764 0.000862 0.000973 0.001095 0.001225 0.001374
2025-09-07 0.000525 0.000652 0.000797 0.000971 0.001174 0.001403 0.001679
2025-09-14 0.000446 0.000588 0.000757 0.000970 0.001228 0.001527 0.001900
2025-09-21 0.000381 0.000531 0.000717 0.000959 0.001262 0.001626 0.002090
2025-09-28 0.000327 0.000480 0.000677 0.000941 0.001282 0.001702 0.002250
2025-10-05 0.000300 0.000460 0.000672 0.000966 0.001354 0.001840 0.002489
2025-10-12 0.000275 0.000440 0.000665 0.000983 0.001415 0.001966 0.002713
2025-10-19 0.000244 0.000409 0.000639 0.000975 0.001438 0.002043 0.002875
2025-10-26 0.000217 0.000379 0.000613 0.000963 0.001456 0.002110 0.003024
2025-11-02 0.000200 0.000363 0.000604 0.000973 0.001502 0.002215 0.003225
2025-11-09 0.000182 0.000343 0.000589 0.000972 0.001533 0.002300 0.003399
2025-11-16 0.000159 0.000314 0.000556 0.000943 0.001521 0.002324 0.003492
2025-11-23 0.000139 0.000287 0.000526 0.000917 0.001512 0.002352 0.003591
2025-11-30 0.000126 0.000270 0.000511 0.000914 0.001536 0.002428 0.003758
2025-12-07 0.000115 0.000257 0.000499 0.000913 0.001564 0.002508 0.003931
2025-12-14 0.000103 0.000240 0.000482 0.000902 0.001575 0.002564 0.004072
2025-12-21 0.000092 0.000223 0.000461 0.000886 0.001576 0.002604 0.004189
2025-12-28 0.000087 0.000220 0.000465 0.000909 0.001640 0.002738 0.004445
2026-01-04 0.000083 0.000215 0.000466 0.000926 0.001693 0.002859 0.004684
2026-01-11 0.000075 0.000203 0.000452 0.000917 0.001706 0.002917 0.004831
2026-01-18 0.000067 0.000191 0.000437 0.000906 0.001713 0.002966 0.004965
2026-01-25 0.000063 0.000185 0.000433 0.000915 0.001754 0.003068 0.005180
2026-02-01 0.000058 0.000177 0.000425 0.000915 0.001778 0.003145 0.005358